The null hypothesis in a recent study was that areas with low vaccination rates drive the ongoing surge of new COVID-19. The study disproved that null hypothesis. That study by S. V. Subramanian from the Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies published on the NIH website concluded that “increases in COVID-19 are unrelated to levels of vaccination across 68 countries and 2947 counties in the United States.” The study determined that the COVID-19 vaccines are not effective. While the study disproved the null hypothesis, one finds that the data goes beyond showing ineffectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccines. The data showed a positive correlation between vaccine rate and infection rate. The data indicate that COVID-19 vaccines are driving the infection. For example, the study presented data showing that U.S. counties with higher COVID-19 vaccine rates had higher rates of COVID-19 cases. The study states:
Of the top 5 counties that have the highest percentage of population fully vaccinated (99.9–84.3%), the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) identifies 4 of them as “High” Transmission counties. Chattahoochee (Georgia), McKinley (New Mexico), and Arecibo (Puerto Rico) counties have above 90% of their population fully vaccinated with all three being classified as “High” transmission. Conversely, of the 57 counties that have been classified as “low” transmission counties by the CDC, 26.3% (15) have percentage of population fully vaccinated below 20%.
When looking at the country-level data, the reader finds the same correlation. In disproving the null hypothesis, the study determined there was no relationship between the percentage of the population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases. The study concluded that the COVID-19 vaccines are ineffective. But the data goes beyond showing the vaccines are ineffective. The study shows that vaccines cause a higher rate of COIVD-19 infection. The study showed that the higher the COVID-19 vaccine rate in a country, the higher is its COVID-19 infection rate. The study reveals that “[i]n fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people.” Thus, the vaccines seem to drive the COVID-19 infection. The study states:
At the country-level, there appears to be no discernable relationship between percentage of population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases in the last 7 days. In fact, the trend line suggests a marginally positive association such that countries with higher percentage of population fully vaccinated have higher COVID-19 cases per 1 million people. Notably, Israel with over 60% of their population fully vaccinated had the highest COVID-19 cases per 1 million people in the last 7 days. The lack of a meaningful association between percentage population fully vaccinated and new COVID-19 cases is further exemplified, for instance, by comparison of Iceland and Portugal. Both countries have over 75% of their population fully vaccinated and have more COVID-19 cases per 1 million people than countries such as Vietnam and South Africa that have around 10% of their population fully vaccinated.
Peter Svab, writing for the Epoch Times reported on April 4, 2022, that “[c]ounties with the highest rates of vaccination against COVID-19 are currently experiencing more cases than those with the lowest vaccination rates, according to data collected by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).”
Svab reveals that “[t]he 500 counties where 62–95 percent of the population has been vaccinated detected more than 75 cases per 100,000 residents on average in the past week. The 500 counties where 11–40 percent of the population has been vaccinated detected about 58 cases per 100,000 residents on average in the past week. … In counties with populations of 200,000–500,000, the 10 most vaccinated had case rates around 55 percent higher than the 10 least vaccinated. The difference was over 200 percent for counties with populations of 100,000–200,000.”